Investigation the Causes of Lebanon's Political Crisis 2005-2019

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Gilan University, Department of Political Science, Rasht, Iran

2 Master student of International Relations, Gilan University, Department of Political Science, Rasht, Iran

Abstract

The heterogeneous and mosaic socio-political conditions of Lebanon, which is rooted in the history of this country, are the main reason for the formation of unrest and the lack of consensus among political elites to create reconciliation between ethnic and religious groups and currents inside this country. But besides the above factor, other factors are also effective in this field. The current research tries to answer this question with a descriptive-analytical approach and through library that what were the most important influential factors in the formation of Lebanon's political crisis and its spread to other areas between 2005 and 2019? (question). In this research, the authors analyze the role of domestic, regional and international components by using the level of analysis approach as well as Little's security approach, which deals with socio-political cohesion and the type of security environment. The findings indicate that the internal differences between different ethnic and religious groups have caused the weakness of the government institution and they have provided the ground for foreign actors to play a role in the political sphere of Lebanon. In addition to the internal components, the interventionist role of foreign actors and their alliance with ethnic and religious groups with the aim of achieving their desired interests, has caused the failure to reach a collective agreement among the political elites of this country. This issue doubled the problem of fragmentation, instability and deep political, social and economic crises in Lebanon during the years 2005 to 2019 (findings)

Highlights

1- Introduction

After the conclusion of the Sykes-Picot agreement between the representatives of the British and French governments in 1916, Lebanon was one of the regions that was placed under the supervision of France. Among the consequences of the above agreement, we can mention the ethnic, cultural and religious differences in the newly established countries that were under the guardianship of two European countries. These issues created internal differences between various groups, which became a factor for the formation of civil wars in emerging countries resulting from the collapse of the Ottoman Empire. Despite its small area, Lebanon has a high ethnic and religious diversity to the extent that it is mentioned as one of the most chaotic and restless societies in the region and even the world. After the independence of this country, the same factor highlighted the weakness of the identity crisis and the lack of formation of the nation-state in the modern sense in Lebanon. For this reason, different groups try to gain as much power as possible in different fields and weaken the opposite spectrums to the extent that the frequent escalation of differences between different groups can be witnessed, which sometimes turned into civil war. The weakness of the government, apart from having many effects on various aspects of people's lives, provides a place for the growth of takfiri movements that use the existing conditions to achieve their goals. It also lays the foundation for the presence and role-playing of regional and international governments to accompany some domestic groups, the ultimate goal of foreign actors in the domestic arena of weak countries is to gain as much of their national interests as possible through influence and influence on the parties and groups involved in power. By mentioning the above introduction, this research tries to answer this important question that; What were the most influential factors in the formation of Lebanon's political crisis and its spread to other areas between 2005and 2019?

 

2- Method and Theoretical Framework

According to the nature of the subject, the research method is explanatory and the method of data collection is library. After reviewing the existing research literature, it was found that despite the abundance of previous researches that happened to be of high scientific value, most of them have only dealt with the competition and differences between two foreign actors in Lebanon, or the reasons behind the crisis in this country according to the fragmented structure, they were investigated. But the innovation of the current research is that with a new approach, it has investigated the roles of internal, regional and international factors in the process of continuation of the Lebanese crisis and has analysed their combined and interconnected role. In the conceptual framework, the concept of "level of analysis" presented by David Singer, as well as Little's security approach, based on the relationship between theoretical concepts and the text and the subject under investigation, is used. The concept of the level of analysis can be used to analyse the political developments in the crisis-stricken societies, and by taking advantage of the three levels of analysis, national, regional and international, we can deal with the political developments in the target countries. Also, in Richard Little's approach, three indicators of "unified governments", "fragmented governments" and "governments subject to disorder" are used for the variable of socio-political cohesion.

 

3- Discussion

In this research, it was tried to use the level of analysis approach to investigate the influential factors in the Lebanese political crisis. In this approach, three levels, domestic, regional and international, and its relationship with the prevailing conditions in Lebanon were analysed. What was obtained can be divided into three parts in the internal sector; Considering the history of the formation of Lebanon, whose demographic composition was made up of different racial and religious groups, it became an obstacle to the formation of a coherent national identity, and from the very beginning, due to the lack of definition of a single nationality and the insistence on clan and tribal rights, it caused crises which continues to plague the social and political structure in Lebanon after several decades. The above factor by itself and due to the lack of an efficient government to manage the crisis situation in this country, provided the arena for the presence and role-playing of foreign governmental and non-governmental actors and entities. At the regional and international level, larger and more influential governments emerge in countries undergoing such changes and, in order to maximize their interests, form alliances with domestic groups and bring them along with their policies.

In this level of analysis, Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran can be said to be the most important regional countries, and the United States and France are the most important international countries involved in Lebanon's affairs. From the point of view of Little's approach, the government of Lebanon has a low socio-political cohesion for the reasons discussed in the article and can be analysed in the form of governments subject to disorder. Various religious and sectarian groups in this country have extensive ties with regional and even international actors. The connection of Shiites with Iran and the closeness of the March 14 movement with Saudi Arabia and the support of America and France for Lebanese Christians can be considered in this format. In fact, regional and international actors use different internal groups in line with their regional goals, which shows a picture of the security environment of asymmetric power balance. Of course, after the formation of the rebellion and civil war in Syria, the unrest in this country also had significant security consequences on Lebanon and fuelled the conflicts between the internal actors of Lebanon. Lebanon's Hezbollah, along with its regional ally, the Islamic Republic of Iran, played a prominent role in supporting the Syrian government at least at some points in time.

 

4- Conclusion and Suggestion

The findings show that the internal differences between different ethnic and religious groups have caused the weakness of the government institution and provided the ground for foreign actors to play a role in the political sphere of Lebanon. In addition to the internal components, playing the interventionist role of foreign actors and their alliance with ethnic and religious groups with the aim of achieving the desired interests has caused the failure to reach a collective agreement among the political elites of this country, which itself is the source of fragmentation, instability and Lebanon's deep political, social and economic crises during the years 2005 to 2019 have doubled.

Keywords


Abbasi, M., Sadeghi, H. (2011). The influence of American and French interests on Iran-Lebanon relations. Case study: Comrade Hariri's assassination. Middle East Studies Quarterly, 19(3), 61-96 (In Persian)
Abdullah Khani, A. (1382). Theories of security. Abrar Contemporary Cultural Institute of Tehran (In Persian)
Aburaj, Z. (1401). A New Perspective on Political Economy and North Africa. With the efforts of Joel Benin, Bassam Haddad and Sherin Sikli. Translated by Seyed Amir Niakoi and Reza Simbar, Tehran; Publication of the audience (In Persian)
Abiyad, P. (1389). The formation of Hezbollah's power in 2006-2009; Basics and future approaches. Translated by Saber Gol Anbari. Islamic World Strategic Studies Quarterly, 11(2), 109-126 (In Persian)
Ahmadinejad, H., Karimi, G. (2022). The function of political psychology in the world of diplomacy. Scientific journal on culture of diplomacy studies, 1(3), (In Persian)
Alikhani, M. (1401). Islamic Republic of Iran and Saudi Arabia; Foreign policy, bilateral relations and regional order. Tehran; The world of politics (In Persian)
Atzili, Boaz. (2010). State weakness and “vacuum of power” in Lebanon. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 33(8), 757-782.‏
Anusha, I. (1388). The 33-day war in Lebanon and its actors. Quarterly Journal of Political and International Studies, 1(1), 139-156 (In Persian)
bakhshi, A., Mozdkhah, E., Yousefi, H. (2021). The Process of Nation-State building and its Role in Shaping the Lebanese Crisis. The Fundamental and Applied Studies of the Islamic World, 3(7), 9-39 (In Persian)
Baroudi, Sami. E., & Salamey, Imad. (2011). US-French collaboration on Lebanon: How Syria's role in Lebanon and the Middle East contributed to a US-French Convergence. The Middle East Journal, 65(3), 398-425.‏
Baumann, H. (2021). The causes, nature, and effect of the current crisis of Lebanese capitalism. In Power-Sharing after Civil War (pp. 61-77). Routledge.‏
Daher, J. (2022). Lebanon, how the post-war’s political economy led to the current economic and social crisis. European University Institute.‏
Diez, Thomas; Bede, Ingwild and Dacasta, Alexander Fernandez. (2014). Key concepts in international relations. Translated by Sajjad Heydarifard, Tehran; The broadcast (In Persian)
Fallahnejad, A., Fallah, M., Mahmoudzadeh, F. (2016). The effect of ethnic and religious divide on political instability in Lebanon. Political Studies Quarterly, 10(4), 120-97 (In Persian)
Ghasem, N. (2013). Lebanon's Hezbollah: its policy, past and future. Translated by Mohammad Mahdi Shariatmadari, 4th edition, Tehran; Publishing information (In Persian)
Ghasemi, F. (2013). Principles of international relations. Fifth edition, Tehran; Publication of Mizan (In Persian)
Golchin, A. (2018). Hezbollah and facing Lebanon's internal challenges. Islamic World Strategic Studies Quarterly, 20(4), 5-28 (In Persian)
Izadi, V. (2015). French foreign policy towards the Middle East and North Africa. Foreign Relations Quarterly, 8(4), 186-157 (In Persian)
Kaviani, R., Shadlo, S. (2015). Methodological debate about theories of international relations from the perspective of philosophy of science. Political Science Quarterly, 12(1), 169-145 (In Persian)
Keshavarz Shokri, A., Sadeghian, H. (2012). Autopsy of foreign policy and the positions of Western opposition actors in the 33-day war in Lebanon. Islamic World Political Research Quarterly, 3(1), 71-96  (In Persian)
Khederlarian, E. (2022). The importance of revolutions: the case of Lebanon in the 2019 October Revolution.‏
Khodayari, A.A. (2019). The assassination of Rafiq Lebanon. Isfahan: Kashif Alam Publishing (In Persian)
Lefèvre, R. (2014). The roots of crisis in Northern Lebanon (pp. 1-89). Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.‏
Nader, S. (2022). Success and Failure of Revolutions in Lebanon (Doctoral dissertation, Lebanese American University).‏
Pasha Ghasemi, A. (1388). Lebanon's 2009 parliamentary elections; Contexts, results and implications. Islamic World Regional Studies Quarterly, 10(1), 189-167 (In Persian)
Masoumi Zare, C. (2014). The role of Lebanon's internal resources in shaping the convergence process of Amal and Hezbollah. Middle East Studies Bi-Quarterly, 22(1), 123-99 (In Persian)
Niakooee, A. (2016). The Examination of the Reasons behind the Rise of Takfiri Groups in the Middle East (2011—2015). World Politics, 4(4), 128-103  (In Persian)
Qawam, S.A. (2017). Principles of foreign policy and international politics. 22nd edition, Tehran; Organization for studying and compiling humanities books of universities (Samt) (In Persian)
Seifzadeh, S.H. (1390). Principles of international relations (a and b). 7th edition, Tehran; Publication of Mizan (In Persian)
Sharifi-Tarazkohi, H., Rahimi, A. (2011). Hezbollah movement in the light of developments after September 11. Defense Management and Research Quarterly, 11(4), 33-62 (In Persian)
Zahrani, M., Maliki, S. (2015). Political sociology and sectarianism in Lebanon. Foreign Relations Quarterly, 8(1), 177-199 (In Persian)