Analysis of Security Crises in the Middle East and the 2035 Perspective

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD student of International Relations, Faculty of Law, Political Science and Theology, Science and Research Unit, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

2 Assistant Professor, Department of Regional Studies, Faculty of Law and Political Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

3 Assistant Professor, Strategic Studies Research Institute, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

The Middle East is one of the sensitive and strategic regions of the world. Huge reserves of energy, seas and communication routes, as well as its large size and large population, have turned this region into a focal region in political and geopolitical equations. Ethnic and religious differences, historical tensions left over from the colonial era, environmental problems and the desire of regional and extra-regional powers to exploit the capacity of the identity forces in order to strengthen their position in geopolitical conflicts, lead to the intensification of this crises. In response to the question: "What is the most important security crisis in the Middle East and where will these crises go until the horizon of 2035?"; the article presents the following hypothesis: "The intersection and entanglement of crises currently in the Middle East, the rise of sub-national and transnational identity forces, economic issues, the structural weakness of the nation-state and finally the geopolitical competition of regional and extra-regional powers, as well as environmental problems, are the main geopolitical crisis of the Middle East, which some of they will be intensified in the next 15 years." The method of this research is quantitative-qualitative.

Keywords

References

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